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C001 — H3:

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Statement: The 40% figure is roughly correct for the total population of all public repositories, but the rate varies dramatically depending on which subset is measured — active projects with recent commits may show much higher rates (60-80%), while the vast majority of abandoned/dormant repositories drag the average down.

Supporting Evidence Would Show

  • Studies that stratify CI adoption by repository activity level showing bimodal distribution.
  • Evidence that most GitHub repositories are inactive forks, homework assignments, or abandoned projects that naturally lack CI.
  • Surveys of active maintainers showing much higher CI adoption than repository-level mining studies.

Eliminating Evidence Would Show

  • Studies that control for repository activity and still find CI adoption near 40% among active projects.
  • Evidence that even active, popular projects frequently lack CI configuration.

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