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C001 — H1:

Contents

Statement: Approximately 40% of open source projects on GitHub have adopted continuous integration, as measured by empirical studies examining CI configuration file presence or CI service usage data.

Supporting Evidence Would Show

  • Empirical studies mining GitHub repositories that report CI adoption rates in the 35-45% range.
  • Surveys of open source maintainers reporting CI usage consistent with ~40%.
  • Multiple independent studies converging on similar adoption figures.

Eliminating Evidence Would Show

  • Empirical studies consistently reporting CI adoption rates well above 50% or well below 30% across representative samples.
  • Evidence that the 40% figure applies only to a narrow, non-representative subset of projects (e.g., only inactive repositories).
  • Methodological critiques showing the studies producing the 40% figure used flawed sampling.

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