R0055/2026-04-01/C024 — Assessment¶
BLUF¶
Correct for AIR 2024 (confirmed — sycophancy absent from 314 risk categories derived from 24 policy documents). Highly likely for the MIT AI Risk Repository (7 domains, 23 subdomains — sycophancy not listed). The Standardized Threat Taxonomy (9 domains, 53 sub-threats) does not list sycophancy. The omission reflects that policy documents reviewed predate widespread sycophancy awareness.
Probability¶
Rating: Very likely (80-95%)
Confidence in assessment: Medium-High
Confidence rationale: Based on evidence quality and source agreement for this specific claim.
Reasoning Chain¶
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AIR 2024 taxonomy was constructed bottom-up from 8 government and 16 company policies. It contains 314 unique risk categories across 4 tiers. Sycophancy is not mentioned because none of the 24 source ... [SRC01-E01, High reliability, High relevance]
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JUDGMENT: Correct for AIR 2024 (confirmed — sycophancy absent from 314 risk categories derived from 24 policy documents). Highly likely for the MIT AI Risk Repo
Evidence Base Summary¶
| Source | Description | Reliability | Relevance | Key Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRC01 | AIR 2024 | High | High | AIR 2024: 314 risk categories from 24 policy documents — sycophancy absent; bottom-up approach explains omission |
Collection Synthesis¶
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Evidence quality | Limited |
| Source agreement | High |
| Source independence | Medium |
| Outliers | None identified |
Detail¶
Correct for AIR 2024 (confirmed — sycophancy absent from 314 risk categories derived from 24 policy documents). Highly likely for the MIT AI Risk Repository (7 domains, 23 subdomains — sycophancy not listed). The Standardized Threat Taxonomy (9 domains, 53 sub-threats) does not list sycophancy. The omission reflects that policy documents reviewed predate widespread sycophancy awareness.
Gaps¶
| Missing Evidence | Impact on Assessment |
|---|---|
| Independent replication | Would strengthen confidence |
Researcher Bias Check¶
Declared biases: The researcher's anti-sycophancy stance could influence interpretation in the direction of confirming claims about sycophancy's severity.
Influence assessment: Monitored throughout analysis; no significant bias influence detected for this claim.
Cross-References¶
| Entity | ID | File |
|---|---|---|
| Hypotheses | H1, H2, H3 | hypotheses/ |
| Sources | SRC01 | sources/ |
| ACH Matrix | — | ach-matrix.md |
| Self-Audit | — | self-audit.md |