E01¶


Research	R0052 — Methodology Claims
Run	2026-03-31
Claim	C009
Source	SRC01
Evidence	SRC01-E01
Type	Factual

Confirms seven-point scale with exact terms and ranges: 1-5%, 5-20%, 20-45%, 45-55%, 55-80%, 80-95%, 95-99%

URL: https://github.com/wesinator/ICD203-intel-analysis

Extract¶

The ICD 203 likelihood scale: Almost no chance (1-5%), Very unlikely (5-20%), Unlikely (20-45%), Roughly even chance (45-55%), Likely (55-80%), Very likely (80-95%), Almost certain (95-99%). The highest level caps at 99%, never reaching 100%.

Relevance to Hypotheses¶

Hypothesis	Relationship	Strength
H1	Supports	Confirms the claim
H2	Contradicts	No evidence for partial correctness
H3	Contradicts	Refutes material incorrectness

Context¶

Source is authoritative in its domain and directly addresses the claim.