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R0052/2026-03-31/C004/S01

Research R0052 — Methodology Claims
Run 2026-03-31
Claim C004
Search S01

WebSearch — IPCC confidence framework two axes

Summary

Field Value
Source/Database WebSearch
Query terms IPCC confidence framework evidence quality agreement two-axis model limited medium robust
Filters None
Results returned 10
Results selected 2
Results rejected 8

Selected Results

Result Title URL Rationale
S01-R01 Confidence levels in IPCC reports (Springer) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-022-03382-3 Academic analysis of IPCC confidence framework
S01-R02 IPCC Uncertainty Guidance Note https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/05/uncertainty-guidance-note.pdf Primary IPCC guidance document

Rejected Results

Result Title URL Rationale
S01-R03 Agreement in IPCC Confidence (ScienceDirect) https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1355219816300971 Focuses on agreement dimension only
S01-R04 GreenFacts IPCC Uncertainties https://www.greenfacts.org/en/climate-change-ar5-science-basis/l-3/1-likelihood.htm Tertiary summary, lower reliability
S01-R05 Combining probability with certainty (Springer) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-018-2247-6 Methodological discussion, not primary
S01-R06 Confidence levels (ResearchGate) https://www.researchgate.net/publication/361753428 Duplicate of R01
S01-R07 Combining probability (PMC) https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12078392/ Duplicate of R05
S01-R08 IPCC AR5 guidance note (Springer) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-011-0178-6 Discusses development of guidance, redundant
S01-R09 IPCC uncertainty framework (Springer 2025) https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-025-03931-6 Recent critique, not primary
S01-R10 Climate-ADAPT uncertainty guidance https://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/en/knowledge/tools/uncertainty-guidance/topic2 Application guide, not primary

Notes

Search returned relevant results. All results dispositioned.