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R0052/2026-03-31/C002 — Claim Definition

Claim as Received

No prior work in published, accessible literature has systematically combined intelligence community analytical standards with scientific methodology frameworks into a single unified research methodology.

Claim as Clarified

The claim asserts a negative — that no published, publicly accessible work exists which takes IC analytical standards (such as ICD 203's tradecraft standards) and scientific methodology frameworks (such as GRADE, IPCC confidence model, PRISMA, ROBIS, Cochrane) and systematically integrates them into a single unified research methodology. This is a novelty claim. The embedded assumption is that these frameworks have remained siloed in their respective domains.

Researcher profile check: The researcher has a declared conflict of interest as the developer of the ai-research-methodology tool that implements this combination. The researcher also has a declared bias toward believing this combination is novel. Extra scrutiny is warranted — the absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence, and the search must be designed to find prior art if it exists.

BLUF

Very likely correct. No published work was found that systematically combines IC analytical standards with scientific methodology frameworks into a unified research methodology.

Scope

  • Domain: Research methodology, intelligence analysis, scientific reporting standards
  • Timeframe: All published literature to date
  • Testability: Search academic databases, IC publications, and methodology literature for prior integrations

Assessment Summary

Probability: Very likely (80-95%)

Confidence: Medium

Hypothesis outcome: H1 supported — no prior integration found. H2 remains inconclusive — it is possible that obscure or classified work exists that was not found.

[Full assessment in assessment.md.]

Status

Field Value
Date created 2026-03-31
Date completed 2026-03-31
Researcher profile Phil Moore
Prompt version ai-research-methodology v1 research.md
Revisit by 2027-03-31
Revisit trigger Publication of a work that systematically combines IC and scientific methodology frameworks