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R0051/2026-03-31/Q001 — ACH Matrix

Matrix

H1: Formal frameworks exist H2: Partial frameworks exist H3: No frameworks exist
SRC01-E01: Three unsolved epistemological challenges -- ++ -
SRC01-E02: Triangulation and source criticism as informal methods -- + --
SRC02-E01: Methods fail scientific standards -- + -
SRC03-E01: Epistemic gap, confirmative epistemology - + -
SRC04-E01: No structured confidence methodology -- + -
SRC04-E02: Implicit evidence quality hierarchy -- ++ --
SRC05-E01: Verification triage without formal framework - + -
SRC06-E01: Epistemic infrastructure without methodology N/A + -

Legend: - ++ Strongly supports - + Supports - -- Strongly contradicts - - Contradicts - N/A Not applicable to this hypothesis

Diagnosticity Analysis

Most Diagnostic Evidence

Evidence Why Diagnostic
SRC04-E01 Directly tests whether calibrated confidence exists in practice — the "What does 65 versus 74 mean?" quote discriminates strongly between H1 (would not be confused) and H2/H3
SRC04-E02 Discriminates between H2 and H3 — implicit hierarchy proves something exists (eliminates H3) while its informal nature eliminates H1
SRC01-E01 Framing challenges as "unsolved" discriminates between H1 (would frame as solved) and H2 (acknowledges partial progress)

Least Diagnostic Evidence

Evidence Why Non-Diagnostic
SRC06-E01 Characterizes institutional role without directly addressing framework existence — does not discriminate between H1 and H2
SRC03-E01 Single case study with limited generalizability — weakly contradicts all three hypotheses

Outcome

Hypothesis supported: H2 — Partial frameworks exist but none comparable to GRADE/IPCC/ICD 203. Every evidence item supports H2, with the strongest support from the combination of implicit practices (E02) and absent formal structure (E01).

Hypotheses eliminated: H1 — No evidence supports H1, and six evidence items contradict it. H3 — Six evidence items contradicting H3 confirm that epistemological engagement exists, even if informal.

Hypotheses inconclusive: None — the evidence clearly discriminates.