R0049/2026-03-31/Q002-S03-R01¶
Summary¶
| Title | Probability and confidence: How to improve communication of uncertainty about uncertainty in intelligence analysis |
| URL | https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/bdm.2364 |
| Date accessed | 2026-03-31 |
| Publication date | 2024 |
| Authors | Duke et al. |
| Publication | Journal of Behavioral Decision Making |
Selection Decision¶
Selected: Directly studies how IC probability language (ICD 203 formats) is interpreted by decision-makers. Most relevant cross-domain finding because it applies behavioral science methods to IC communication problems.