SRC06-E01 — IC Baseline Contains No Scientific Framework References¶
Description¶
The CIA Tradecraft Primer, a foundational IC methodology document, categorizes structured analytic techniques without reference to any scientific methodology framework.
URL¶
https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Tradecraft-Primer-apr09.pdf
Extract¶
SATs fall into three categories: diagnostic techniques (make assumptions and logical arguments more transparent), contrarian techniques (challenge current thinking), and imaginative thinking techniques (encourage new perspectives and alternative scenarios). Includes structured brainstorming, key assumptions check, and analysis of competing hypotheses among others.
Relevance to Hypotheses¶
| Hypothesis | Relevance | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| H1 — Unified frameworks exist | Contradicts (baseline IC document has no scientific framework content) | Strong |
| H2 — Domains remain siloed | Supports | Strong |
| H3 — Partial bridges exist | N/A | — |
Context¶
FACT: Official CIA publication from the Center for the Study of Intelligence. JUDGMENT: As a baseline IC methodology document, its complete absence of scientific framework references establishes that the IC tradition developed independently.