R0047/2026-03-29/Q001/SRC01-E02¶
Extract¶
Moore's prediction, quoted directly in the article:
I work for the 38th largest company in the world, Morgan Stanley. We have a billion dollar IT budget. And we use a little of everything. Unfortunately. Excuse me, a LOT of everything. The trend I've seen in the last ten years...is the exponential growth in the variety and the depth and breadth of installation of open-source software in our infrastructure....What I'm seeing is that in the infrastructure, the core infrastructure, open source is going to take over, leaps and bounds....I'm predicting, right now, that by 2006 or 2007, we're going to be a 90% Linux shop.
This confirms the "90% Linux shop" prediction and the "2006 or 2007" timeframe exactly as reported in R0045 Q004.
Relevance to Hypotheses¶
| Hypothesis | Relevance |
|---|---|
| H1 | N/A |
| H2 | Contradicts — prediction quote matches R0045 Q004 exactly |
| H3 | Supports — core factual claim confirmed verbatim |
Context¶
This is a block quote in the article, indicating Searls is reproducing Moore's words directly rather than paraphrasing.
Notes¶
- The exact phrasing is "by 2006 or 2007" -- not "by 2006-2007" as sometimes shortened.
- The prediction is specifically about "Linux" not "open source" more broadly, though Moore discusses open-source infrastructure growth as the broader trend.
- Moore frames this as a personal prediction ("I'm predicting") rather than a corporate announcement.