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R0045/2026-03-29/Q002/H3

Research R0045 — Prediction Verification
Run 2026-03-29
Query Q002
Hypothesis H3

Statement

Apache's dominance depends entirely on measurement methodology. By hostname count, Apache was overwhelmingly dominant. By physical server count, IIS/Windows led. Neither was clearly "dominant" without specifying the metric.

Status

Supported — This is the most accurate characterization of the evidence. Apache held 63% of hostnames but Windows ran on 49.2% of physical servers. The discrepancy was explained by Apache's concentration at shared hosting providers.

Supporting Evidence

Evidence Summary
SRC01-E01 Apache 63% by hostnames, clear dominance by this metric
SRC03-E01 Windows 49.2% by physical servers, clear lead by this metric

Contradicting Evidence

No evidence contradicts this synthesis — it is the most faithful representation of the data.

Reasoning

The Netcraft data itself demonstrated the measurement methodology problem in June 2001. Apache ran more websites because hosting providers maximized sites per server, while Windows/IIS was more common on single-purpose enterprise and self-hosted servers. Both claims of "dominance" are correct given different metrics.

Relationship to Other Hypotheses

H3 subsumes both H1 and H2 by recognizing that the apparent contradiction between them is a measurement artifact, not a factual dispute.