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R0031/2026-03-29/C002 — ACH Matrix

Matrix

H1: Accurate as stated H2: Partially correct H3: Materially wrong
SRC01-E01: Ipsos US "2/3 don't trust but use" - ++ -
SRC02-E01: 31-country survey lacks 66% figure -- ++ +
SRC03-E01: KPMG 66% usage + low trust -- ++ --

Legend: - ++ Strongly supports - + Supports - -- Strongly contradicts - - Contradicts - N/A Not applicable to this hypothesis

Diagnosticity Analysis

Most Diagnostic Evidence

Evidence Why Diagnostic
SRC02-E01 The actual Ipsos 31-country survey does not contain the 66% figure — decisively eliminates H1
SRC03-E01 Identifies the probable actual source of the 66% figure — discriminates between H2 and H3

Least Diagnostic Evidence

Evidence Why Non-Diagnostic
SRC01-E01 Confirms phenomenon exists at Ipsos but doesn't cleanly discriminate between hypotheses

Outcome

Hypothesis supported: H2 — The phenomenon is real but the attribution is wrong.

Hypotheses eliminated: H1 — The 31-country Ipsos survey does not contain the 66% figure. H3 — The underlying phenomenon is well-documented.

Hypotheses inconclusive: None.