R0031/2026-03-27/C001/H3¶
Statement¶
The claim is materially wrong — the statistics cited do not come from the KPMG/University of Melbourne study, or the numbers are significantly different from what the study reports.
Status¶
Current: Eliminated
Supporting Evidence¶
| Evidence | Summary |
|---|---|
| None | No evidence supports this hypothesis |
Contradicting Evidence¶
| Evidence | Summary |
|---|---|
| SRC01-E01 | 46% global trust confirmed exactly |
| SRC01-E02 | Respondent count is close — "over 48,000" vs 48,340 |
| SRC01-E03 | Economy split is close — within 1-3 percentage points |
Reasoning¶
The core statistics in the claim are either confirmed exactly (46%, 47 countries) or very close to what the primary source reports. The discrepancies are minor precision differences, not material errors. This hypothesis is eliminated.
Relationship to Other Hypotheses¶
H3 represents the most skeptical interpretation. Given that the primary source confirms the core claim, H3 is not viable.