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R0031/2026-03-27/C001/H1

Research R0031 — Plural Voice Claims Blind
Run 2026-03-27
Claim C001
Hypothesis H1

Statement

The claim is accurate as stated: global trust is exactly 46%, advanced economies 39%, emerging economies 57%, sample size 48,340, across 47 countries.

Status

Current: Inconclusive

Supporting Evidence

Evidence Summary
SRC01-E01 46% global trust confirmed exactly

Contradicting Evidence

Evidence Summary
SRC01-E02 Source says "over 48,000" not 48,340
SRC01-E03 Press materials report 40%/60% not 39%/57%

Reasoning

The 46% and 47 countries figures are confirmed exactly. However, the respondent count and economy-split percentages show slight differences in press materials. The claim may be precisely accurate if drawn from the full report (which may contain unrounded figures), but this cannot be confirmed from available evidence.

Relationship to Other Hypotheses

H1 differs from H2 only in degree — H2 acknowledges the minor discrepancies while H1 requires exact precision. The full report would resolve this distinction.