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R0029/2026-03-27/Q005 — ACH Matrix

Matrix

H1: Widespread, all contexts H2: Limited/anecdotal H3: Documented in academic/workplace, sparse for SE
SRC01-E01: 57% workers hide AI use ++ -- ++
SRC02-E01: 22% students admit use despite belief it's cheating ++ -- ++
SRC03-E01: 7,000 UK formal cases + -- +
SRC04-E01: Cheating rates unchanged 60-70% N/A - +

Legend: - ++ Strongly supports - + Supports - -- Strongly contradicts - - Contradicts - N/A Not applicable to this hypothesis

Diagnosticity Analysis

Most Diagnostic Evidence

Evidence ID Why Diagnostic
SRC01-E01 The 57% workplace figure with 48K+ sample is maximally diagnostic — it definitively eliminates H2 and confirms workplace documentation
Absence of SE data The targeted search failure for software engineering misrepresentation data is diagnostic for discriminating H1 (all contexts) from H3 (two contexts)

Least Diagnostic Evidence

Evidence ID Why Non-Diagnostic
SRC04-E01 The stable cheating rate finding is contextually important but does not discriminate between hypotheses about documentation quality

Outcome

Hypothesis supported: H3 — Well-documented in academic and workplace contexts; software engineering data is sparse.

Hypotheses eliminated: H2 — Overwhelmingly contradicted by large-scale quantitative data.

Hypotheses inconclusive: H1 — Partially supported (workplace and academic confirmed) but overstates software engineering coverage.