E01¶


Research	R0007 — AI Cognitive Amplifier
Run	2026-03-20
Claim	C014
Source	SRC01
Evidence	SRC01-E01
Type	Statistical

Confirmed. Otis, Clarke, Delecourt, Holtz, and Koning studied 640 Kenyan entrepreneurs in a five-month RCT. High performers gained 15% in profits/revenue; low performers declined by 8%. Published as HBS Working Paper 24-042. URL: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=65159

Extract¶

640 Kenyan entrepreneurs in a 5-month RCT received GPT-4 business advice via WhatsApp. High performers gained 15% in profits/revenue. Low performers declined by 8%. The divergence stemmed from task selection: high performers asked for help on straightforward tasks; low performers sought help on complex problems beyond AI's capabilities.

Relevance to Hypotheses¶

Hypothesis	Relationship	Strength
H1	Supports	See assessment
H2	Supports	See assessment
H3	Contradicts	Contradicts material error
## Context
See assessment.md.