R0007/2026-03-20/C013 — Assessment

Research	R0007 — AI Cognitive Amplifier
Run	2026-03-20
Claim	C013

BLUF

Substantially confirmed. The BCG study found consultants using AI on tasks outside the frontier performed worse. Some sources report 19 percentage points, others report 20% worse. The exact figure may vary by metric (percentage points vs. percentage). The core finding of degraded performance outside the frontier is robust.

Probability

Rating: Very likely (80-95%) Confidence in assessment: High Confidence rationale: Based on web-accessible evidence.

Reasoning Chain

1. For tasks outside the AI frontier, consultants using AI performed 19 percentage points worse (some sources say 20% worse) than those without AI. This demonstrates the 'jagged frontier' concept — AI capabilities are uneven, and blind reliance on AI for tasks beyond its capability degrades performance. [SRC01-E01, High reliability, High relevance]

Evidence Base Summary

Source	Description	Reliability	Relevance	Key Finding
SRC01	Navigating the Jagged Technological Frontier	High	High	See BLUF
## Collection Synthesis
Dimension	Assessment
-----------	------------
Evidence quality	Medium to Robust
Source agreement	High
Source independence	Assessed per claim
Outliers	None
### Detail
For tasks outside the AI frontier, consultants using AI performed 19 percentage points worse (some sources say 20% worse) than those without AI. This demonstrates the 'jagged frontier' concept — AI capabilities are uneven, and blind reliance on AI for tasks beyond its capability degrades performance.
## Gaps
Missing Evidence	Impact on Assessment
-----------------	---------------------
Full-text access	Low to Moderate
## Researcher Bias Check
Declared biases: None.
Influence assessment: Standard verification.
## Cross-References
Entity	ID	File
--------	----	------
Hypotheses	H1, H2, H3	hypotheses/
Sources	SRC01	sources/
ACH Matrix	—	ach-matrix.md
Self-Audit	—	self-audit.md