R0007/2026-03-20/C003/SRC01/E01¶
229 datasets confirmed in 2016 paper, not 2014
URL: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/peps.12095
Extract¶
The 2016 paper "Cumulative Advantage: Conductors and Insulators of Heavy-Tailed Productivity Distributions and Productivity Stars" by Aguinis, O'Boyle, Gonzalez-Mule, and Joo, published in Personnel Psychology 69(1): 3-66, used 229 datasets with approximately 633,876 productivity observations. The 2014 paper by the same lead authors was "Star Performers in Twenty-First Century Organizations" — a different, more conceptual paper.
Relevance to Hypotheses¶
| Hypothesis | Relationship | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| H1 | Contradicts | Year is 2016, not 2014 |
| H2 | Supports | Findings exist but year is wrong |
| H3 | Contradicts | The underlying study and findings are real |
Context¶
The claim conflates the 2014 Star Performers paper with the 2016 Cumulative Advantage paper. Both are follow-ups to the 2012 paper, but the specific findings cited (229 samples, heavy tails) belong to the 2016 paper.