C014¶


Research	R0007 -- AI Made Everyone Faster
Run	2026-03-19
Claim	C014

Claim: The Otis study of Kenyan entrepreneurs gave GPT-4 business advice via WhatsApp. High performers gained roughly 15%. Low performers declined by roughly 8%.

BLUF: Confirmed. 640 Kenyan entrepreneurs, 5-month RCT. High performers gained ~15%, low performers declined ~8% in revenue.

Probability: Almost certain (95-99%) | Confidence: High

Summary¶

Entity	Description
Claim Definition	Claim text, scope, status
Assessment	Full analytical product with reasoning chain
ACH Matrix	Evidence x hypotheses diagnosticity analysis
Self-Audit	ROBIS-adapted 4-domain process audit

Hypotheses¶

ID	Hypothesis	Status
H1	Claim is accurate as stated	Supported
H2	Percentages approximate	Inconclusive
H3	No divergent effects	Eliminated

Searches¶

ID	Target	Results	Selected
S01	Otis et al. (2023) HBS Working Paper 24-042	10	3

Sources¶

Source	Description	Reliability	Relevance
SRC01	Otis et al. (2023) HBS Working Paper 24-042	High	High