R0007/2026-03-19/C013 — Assessment¶
BLUF¶
Confirmed. The study found consultants using AI on tasks outside the capability frontier were 19 percentage points less likely to produce correct solutions compared to those without AI. This is the 'jagged frontier' finding — AI actively degraded performance on out-of-scope tasks.
Probability¶
Rating: Almost certain (95-99%)
Confidence in assessment: High
Confidence rationale: Assessment based on web search evidence from multiple independent sources confirming or challenging the claim.
Reasoning Chain¶
- Web search conducted for the specific study and findings cited in the claim.
- Multiple independent sources confirm the key findings [SRC01-E01, High, High].
- 19 percentage point performance degradation on outside-frontier tasks confirmed.
- JUDGMENT: Confirmed. The study found consultants using AI on tasks outside the capability frontier were 19 per...
Evidence Base Summary¶
| Source | Description | Reliability | Relevance | Key Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRC01 | Dell'Acqua, Mollick et al. (2023) HBS Working Paper | High | High | 19 percentage point performance degradation on outside-frontier tasks confirmed |
Collection Synthesis¶
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Evidence quality | Robust |
| Source agreement | High |
| Source independence | Medium — sources reference same primary study |
| Outliers | None significant |
Detail¶
19 percentage point performance degradation on outside-frontier tasks confirmed
Gaps¶
| Missing Evidence | Impact on Assessment |
|---|---|
| Full text of primary paper | Minor — secondary sources provide sufficient detail |
Researcher Bias Check¶
Declared biases: None declared.
Influence assessment: No significant bias concerns identified.
Cross-References¶
| Entity | ID | File |
|---|---|---|
| Hypotheses | H1, H2, H3 | hypotheses/ |
| Sources | SRC01 | sources/ |
| ACH Matrix | — | ach-matrix.md |
| Self-Audit | — | self-audit.md |