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R0007/2026-03-19/C013 — Assessment

BLUF

Confirmed. The study found consultants using AI on tasks outside the capability frontier were 19 percentage points less likely to produce correct solutions compared to those without AI. This is the 'jagged frontier' finding — AI actively degraded performance on out-of-scope tasks.

Probability

Rating: Almost certain (95-99%)

Confidence in assessment: High

Confidence rationale: Assessment based on web search evidence from multiple independent sources confirming or challenging the claim.

Reasoning Chain

  1. Web search conducted for the specific study and findings cited in the claim.
  2. Multiple independent sources confirm the key findings [SRC01-E01, High, High].
  3. 19 percentage point performance degradation on outside-frontier tasks confirmed.
  4. JUDGMENT: Confirmed. The study found consultants using AI on tasks outside the capability frontier were 19 per...

Evidence Base Summary

Source Description Reliability Relevance Key Finding
SRC01 Dell'Acqua, Mollick et al. (2023) HBS Working Paper High High 19 percentage point performance degradation on outside-frontier tasks confirmed

Collection Synthesis

Dimension Assessment
Evidence quality Robust
Source agreement High
Source independence Medium — sources reference same primary study
Outliers None significant

Detail

19 percentage point performance degradation on outside-frontier tasks confirmed

Gaps

Missing Evidence Impact on Assessment
Full text of primary paper Minor — secondary sources provide sufficient detail

Researcher Bias Check

Declared biases: None declared.

Influence assessment: No significant bias concerns identified.

Cross-References

Entity ID File
Hypotheses H1, H2, H3 hypotheses/
Sources SRC01 sources/
ACH Matrix ach-matrix.md
Self-Audit self-audit.md