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R0007/2026-03-19/C010/H2

Research R0007 — AI Made Everyone Faster
Run 2026-03-19
Claim C010
Hypothesis H2

Statement

Numbers slightly differ between paper versions

Status

Current: Inconclusive

Supporting Evidence

Evidence Summary
SRC01-E01 Primary evidence from research

Contradicting Evidence

Evidence Summary
SRC01-E01 Evidence supports alternative hypothesis

Reasoning

Substantially confirmed with minor caveats. The published version (QJE, May 2025) reports 5,172 agents (earlier NBER working paper said 5,179). The 34% improvement for novice/low-skilled workers is confirmed. Overall average productivity increase was 14%. Experienced workers saw minimal gains in productivity and small declines in quality.

Relationship to Other Hypotheses

See assessment.md for full reasoning.