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R0007/2026-03-19/C007 — Claim Definition

Claim as Received

Housman and Minor studied 50,000 workers and found that avoiding one toxic hire saves $12,489 while hiring a top-one-percent superstar adds only $5,303.

Claim as Clarified

Housman and Minor studied 50,000 workers and found that avoiding one toxic hire saves $12,489 while hiring a top-one-percent superstar adds only $5,303.

BLUF

Confirmed. Housman and Minor (HBS Working Paper 16-057) studied over 50,000 workers across 11 firms. Avoiding a toxic worker saves approximately $12,489 (from turnover costs), while a top-1% superstar adds approximately $5,303. The 2x+ differential is the paper's headline finding.

Scope

  • Domain: Performance and productivity research
  • Timeframe: As specified in claim
  • Testability: Verifiable via published literature

Assessment Summary

Probability: Almost certain (95-99%)

Confidence: High

Hypothesis outcome: Claim is accurate as stated — Supported.

[Full assessment in assessment.md.]

Status

Field Value
Date created 2026-03-19
Date completed 2026-03-19
Researcher profile Not provided
Prompt version Unified Research Standard 1.0-draft
Revisit by 2027-03-19
Revisit trigger New contradictory evidence or replication failure