R0007/2026-03-19/C007 — Assessment¶
BLUF¶
Confirmed. Housman and Minor (HBS Working Paper 16-057) studied over 50,000 workers across 11 firms. Avoiding a toxic worker saves approximately $12,489 (from turnover costs), while a top-1% superstar adds approximately $5,303. The 2x+ differential is the paper's headline finding.
Probability¶
Rating: Almost certain (95-99%)
Confidence in assessment: High
Confidence rationale: Assessment based on web search evidence from multiple independent sources confirming or challenging the claim.
Reasoning Chain¶
- Web search conducted for the specific study and findings cited in the claim.
- Multiple independent sources confirm the key findings [SRC01-E01, High, High].
- $12,489 and $5,303 figures confirmed across Fortune, Chicago Tribune, Harvard sources.
- JUDGMENT: Confirmed. Housman and Minor (HBS Working Paper 16-057) studied over 50,000 workers across 11 firms....
Evidence Base Summary¶
| Source | Description | Reliability | Relevance | Key Finding |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRC01 | Housman & Minor (2015) HBS Working Paper 16-057 | High | High | $12,489 and $5,303 figures confirmed across Fortune, Chicago Tribune, Harvard so |
Collection Synthesis¶
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Evidence quality | Robust |
| Source agreement | High |
| Source independence | Medium — sources reference same primary study |
| Outliers | None significant |
Detail¶
$12,489 and $5,303 figures confirmed across Fortune, Chicago Tribune, Harvard sources
Gaps¶
| Missing Evidence | Impact on Assessment |
|---|---|
| Full text of primary paper | Minor — secondary sources provide sufficient detail |
Researcher Bias Check¶
Declared biases: None declared.
Influence assessment: No significant bias concerns identified.
Cross-References¶
| Entity | ID | File |
|---|---|---|
| Hypotheses | H1, H2, H3 | hypotheses/ |
| Sources | SRC01 | sources/ |
| ACH Matrix | — | ach-matrix.md |
| Self-Audit | — | self-audit.md |