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R0007/2026-03-19/C007

Claim: Housman and Minor studied 50,000 workers and found that avoiding one toxic hire saves $12,489 while hiring a top-one-percent superstar adds only $5,303.

BLUF: Confirmed. Housman and Minor (Harvard Business School Working Paper 16-057) studied over 50,000 workers across 11 firms and found avoiding a toxic worker saves approximately $12,489 (replacement costs from turnover caused by the toxic worker) while hiring a top-1% superstar adds approximately $5,303 in value. The economic conclusion — avoiding toxic hires is worth more than 2x hiring superstars — is robustly supported.

Probability: Almost certain (95-99%) | Confidence: High


Summary

Entity Description
Claim Definition Claim text, scope, status
Assessment Full analytical product with reasoning chain
ACH Matrix Evidence x hypotheses diagnosticity analysis
Self-Audit ROBIS-adapted 4-domain process audit

Hypotheses

ID Hypothesis Status
H1 Claim is accurate as stated Supported
H2 Partially correct with caveats Eliminated
H3 Claim is materially wrong Eliminated

Searches

ID Target Results Selected
S01 Housman Minor toxic workers financial impact 10 3

Sources

Source Description Reliability Relevance
SRC01 Housman & Minor (2015) HBS Working Paper High High