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R0005/2026-03-17/Q001/SRC01

Fortune — OpenAI Financial Documents

Source

Field Value
Title OpenAI Financial Documents Reveal...
Publisher Fortune
Author(s) Fortune staff
Date 2025 (estimated)
URL Not captured — experimental run
Type Investigative reporting

Summary

Dimension Rating
Reliability Medium
Relevance High
Bias: Missing data Some concerns
Bias: Measurement Low risk
Bias: Selective reporting Some concerns
Bias: Randomization N/A — not an RCT
Bias: Protocol deviation N/A — not an RCT
Bias: COI/Funding Some concerns

Rationale

Dimension Rationale
Reliability Medium. Based on leaked or shared internal financial documents, not independently audited. Fortune is a credible outlet but the underlying data originates from OpenAI and has not been verified by a third-party auditor.
Relevance High. Directly addresses OpenAI's revenue, losses, and profitability timeline — central to the query.
Bias flags Possible selective disclosure by OpenAI. Internal projections shared with media or investors may present an optimistic picture to support fundraising narratives. COI concern: OpenAI has a direct incentive to show favorable forward projections when raising capital.

Evidence Extracts

Evidence ID Summary
SRC01-E01 OpenAI 2024 revenue $3.7B, loss ~$5B
SRC01-E02 OpenAI projects $30B revenue in 2026, $14B loss
SRC01-E03 Cumulative cash burn through 2029: ~$115B
SRC01-E04 Cash-flow positive projected 2029-2030