R0002/2026-03-13/C011/SRC05¶
ICD 203 Analytic Standards
Source¶
Director of National Intelligence. "Intelligence Community Directive 203: Analytic Standards." Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 2015. https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICD/ICD%20203%20Analytic%20Standards.pdf.
URL: https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICD/ICD%20203%20Analytic%20Standards.pdf
Summary¶
| Dimension | Rating |
|---|---|
| Reliability | High |
| Relevance | Medium |
| Bias: Missing data | Low risk |
| Bias: Measurement | N/A — policy directive |
| Bias: Selective reporting | Low risk |
| Bias: Randomization | N/A — not an RCT |
| Bias: Protocol deviation | N/A — not an RCT |
| Bias: COI/Funding | Low risk |
Rationale¶
| Dimension | Rationale |
|---|---|
| Reliability | Official U.S. government directive from the Director of National Intelligence. Authoritative primary source for IC analytic standards. |
| Relevance | Medium. Used as a comparator — the IC's calibrated probability scale is the standard against which journalism's lack of such a scale is measured. Not directly about journalism but establishes what a formal uncertainty scale looks like. |
| Bias flags | No concerns. Government policy publication. |
Evidence Extracts¶
| Evidence ID | Summary |
|---|---|
| SRC05-E01 | IC has calibrated probability scale — journalism has no equivalent |