R0002/2026-03-13/C011/S05/R03¶
DNI.gov — ICD 203 Analytic Standards
Summary¶
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Title | Intelligence Community Directive 203: Analytic Standards |
| URL | https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICD/ICD%20203%20Analytic%20Standards.pdf |
| Date accessed | 2026-03-13 |
| Publication date | 2015 (current version) |
| Author(s) | Director of National Intelligence |
| Publication | Office of the Director of National Intelligence |
Selection Decision¶
Included in evidence base: Yes
Rationale: Primary source for IC calibrated probability scale. Used as a comparator to demonstrate what journalism lacks. ICD 203 defines probability language (Almost certain 95-99%, Very likely 80-95%, etc.) — journalism has no equivalent.