SRC01¶


Research	R0002 — Research Standards for AI-Assisted Writing
Run	2026-03-13
Claim	C003
Search	S01, S02
Result	S01-R01, S02-R01
Source	SRC01

IPCC AR5 Uncertainty Guidance Note

Source¶

Mastrandrea MD, Field CB, Stocker TF, et al. "Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties." IPCC Cross-Working Group Meeting on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties. Jasper Ridge, CA, USA, 6-7 July 2010.

URL: Not captured — experimental run

Summary¶

Dimension	Rating
Reliability	High
Relevance	High
Bias: Missing data	Low risk
Bias: Measurement	N/A — methodological standard
Bias: Selective reporting	Low risk
Bias: Randomization	N/A — not an RCT
Bias: Protocol deviation	N/A — not an RCT
Bias: COI/Funding	Low risk

Rationale¶

Dimension	Rationale
Reliability	Official IPCC guidance document. Defines the uncertainty framework used in AR5 and continued in AR6. Primary source for the two-axis confidence model and likelihood scale.
Relevance	Directly defines the framework that the claim references. Primary source — this IS the IPCC uncertainty framework. Exact topic match.
Bias flags	No concerns. This is a methodological standard developed through international expert consensus.
Note	PDF was unreadable (binary encoding), but content confirmed via secondary sources reproducing it with direct quotes.

Evidence Extracts¶

Evidence ID	Summary
SRC01-E01	Two-axis confidence model confirmed
SRC01-E02	Evidence axis: Limited, Medium, Robust
SRC01-E03	Agreement axis: Low, Medium, High
SRC01-E04	Five confidence levels: Very low through Very high
SRC01-E05	Separate likelihood scale with seven primary terms