R0002/2026-03-13/C002/SRC01/E02¶
Four Certainty Levels Confirmed
URL: Not captured — experimental run
Extract¶
GRADE defines four levels of certainty (quality) of evidence: High, Moderate, Low, and Very low. All sources converge on these four levels. The definitions are:
- High: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
- Moderate: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence and may change the estimate.
- Low: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence and is likely to change the estimate.
- Very low: Any estimate of effect is very uncertain.
Relevance to Hypotheses¶
| Hypothesis | Relationship | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| H1 | Supports | Strong — confirms four certainty levels |
| H2 | Supports | Strong — structural detail is correct |
| H3 | Contradicts | Strong — four levels is confirmed, not wrong |
Context¶
The four levels have remained stable since the framework's introduction. The terminology has evolved slightly — "quality of evidence" is now often called "certainty of evidence" — but the four-level structure is unchanged.
Notes¶
The claim uses "certainty levels" which aligns with the more modern GRADE terminology (post-2016 usage shift from "quality" to "certainty").