R0002/2026-03-13/C002/H3¶
Statement¶
One or more of the numerical counts (four certainty levels, five downgrade criteria, three upgrade criteria) are incorrect.
Status¶
Current: Eliminated
Supporting Evidence¶
| Evidence | Summary |
|---|---|
[No evidence found supporting this hypothesis.]
Contradicting Evidence¶
| Evidence | Summary |
|---|---|
| SRC01-E02 | Four certainty levels confirmed |
| SRC01-E03 | Five downgrade criteria confirmed |
| SRC02-E01 | Three upgrade criteria confirmed |
| SRC02-E02 | All counts independently confirmed |
Reasoning¶
H3 was included as a null hypothesis to test whether the specific numerical claims were accurate. All three counts are confirmed by multiple independent sources: four certainty levels (High, Moderate, Low, Very low), five downgrade criteria (risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecision, publication bias), and three upgrade criteria (large magnitude of effect, dose-response gradient, opposing plausible residual confounding or bias). H3 is eliminated with high confidence.
Relationship to Other Hypotheses¶
Independent of the H1/H2 distinction (which concerns the "core insight" characterization). H3's elimination confirms the numerical accuracy claimed by both H1 and H2.