R0002/2026-03-13/C001/SRC02¶
Secondary Sources Synthesis
Source¶
Multiple concordant secondary sources: Army University Press, intelligence.gov, Penn State University courseware, PubMed Central, BMBS.org, Quizlet student flashcards. Accessed 2026-03-13.
URL: Not captured — experimental run
Summary¶
| Dimension | Rating |
|---|---|
| Reliability | Medium-High |
| Relevance | High |
| Bias: Missing data | Low risk |
| Bias: Measurement | N/A — descriptive references |
| Bias: Selective reporting | Some concerns |
| Bias: Randomization | N/A — not an RCT |
| Bias: Protocol deviation | N/A — not an RCT |
| Bias: COI/Funding | Low risk |
Rationale¶
| Dimension | Rationale |
|---|---|
| Reliability | Medium-High. Army University Press, intelligence.gov, and academic course materials all converge on the same facts. No single secondary source is individually definitive, but the convergence across independent military, government, and academic sources provides strong collective reliability. |
| Relevance | High. All sources directly address the tradecraft standards and probability scale. They provide cross-reference and verification of the primary source. |
| Bias flags | Selective reporting — Some concerns: Secondary summaries may simplify the official text, potentially reinforcing shorthand labels that depart from the precise official language. This was observed: student flashcards use the same shorthand as the claim. |
Evidence Extracts¶
| Evidence ID | Summary |
|---|---|
| SRC02-E01 | Multiple sources confirm nine standards and seven-point scale |
| SRC02-E02 | ICD 203 uses "Almost no chance," not "Remote," for lowest band |