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R0002/2026-03-13/C001/SRC02

Secondary Sources Synthesis

Source

Multiple concordant secondary sources: Army University Press, intelligence.gov, Penn State University courseware, PubMed Central, BMBS.org, Quizlet student flashcards. Accessed 2026-03-13.

URL: Not captured — experimental run

Summary

Dimension Rating
Reliability Medium-High
Relevance High
Bias: Missing data Low risk
Bias: Measurement N/A — descriptive references
Bias: Selective reporting Some concerns
Bias: Randomization N/A — not an RCT
Bias: Protocol deviation N/A — not an RCT
Bias: COI/Funding Low risk

Rationale

Dimension Rationale
Reliability Medium-High. Army University Press, intelligence.gov, and academic course materials all converge on the same facts. No single secondary source is individually definitive, but the convergence across independent military, government, and academic sources provides strong collective reliability.
Relevance High. All sources directly address the tradecraft standards and probability scale. They provide cross-reference and verification of the primary source.
Bias flags Selective reporting — Some concerns: Secondary summaries may simplify the official text, potentially reinforcing shorthand labels that depart from the precise official language. This was observed: student flashcards use the same shorthand as the claim.

Evidence Extracts

Evidence ID Summary
SRC02-E01 Multiple sources confirm nine standards and seven-point scale
SRC02-E02 ICD 203 uses "Almost no chance," not "Remote," for lowest band