E02¶


Research	R0002 — Research Standards for AI-Assisted Writing
Run	2026-03-13
Claim	C001
Source	SRC02
Evidence	SRC02-E02
Type	Factual

"Almost No Chance" Not "Remote"

URL: Not captured — experimental run

Extract¶

The ICD 203 seven-point probability scale uses "Almost no chance" (01-05%) for the lowest band. The claim uses "Remote," which is not the ICD 203 term. The term "Remote" appears in some IC probability scales but is not the standard ICD 203 terminology. The claim may conflate the ICD 203 scale with a DIA-specific or other agency-specific adaptation.

Relevance to Hypotheses¶

Hypothesis	Relationship	Strength
H1	Contradicts	Strong — "Remote" is not the correct term
H2	Supports	Strong — confirms a terminology discrepancy
H3	Neutral	N/A — addresses term precision, not structural accuracy

Context¶

The percentage range (01-05%) is correct regardless of the term used. The discrepancy is terminological, not structural. However, in a claim about a specific standard's exact terminology, this matters.

Notes¶

Further research could identify the specific source of the "Remote" conflation. Some DIA publications may use "Remote" in place of "Almost no chance."