R0002/2026-03-13/C001/SRC02/E01¶
Multiple Sources Confirm Nine Standards and Seven-Point Scale
URL: Not captured — experimental run
Extract¶
Army University Press, intelligence.gov, academic course materials (Penn State), and student study materials (Quizlet) all independently confirm that ICD 203 defines nine Analytic Tradecraft Standards and includes a seven-point probability scale. The convergence across military, government, and academic sources provides strong collective confirmation.
Relevance to Hypotheses¶
| Hypothesis | Relationship | Strength |
|---|---|---|
| H1 | Supports | Moderate — confirms structure, but secondary sources also use simplified labels |
| H2 | Supports | Moderate — confirms structure exists; label simplification is consistent with H2 |
| H3 | Contradicts | Strong — multiple independent sources confirm structural accuracy |
Context¶
The convergence of independent sources is significant. These are not sources citing each other — Army University Press, academic courseware, and government portals arrive at the same structural description independently. This eliminates the possibility of a single-source error propagating.
Notes¶
Secondary sources tend to use the same shorthand labels as the claim, suggesting these labels are widely adopted in the IC training community even though they depart from the official text.