C001 — Claim Definition¶


Research	R0002 — Research Standards for AI-Assisted Writing
Run	2026-03-13
Claim	C001

Claim as Received¶

ICD 203 defines nine tradecraft standards (Sourcing, Uncertainty, Distinction, Alternatives, Relevance, Logic, Change, Accuracy, Visual integrity). Seven-point probability scale from Remote (01-05%) through Almost certain (95-99%).

Claim as Clarified¶

ICD 203 (Intelligence Community Directive 203) defines exactly nine Analytic Tradecraft Standards and includes a seven-point probability scale. The claim uses shorthand names (e.g., "Sourcing") for what are actually longer descriptions in the directive. The claim says "Remote" but ICD 203 may use different terminology for the lowest probability band.

BLUF¶

Structurally correct but two specific labels are inaccurate. "Visual integrity" should be "effective visual information," and "Remote" is not the ICD 203 term — the correct term is "Almost no chance." The nine standards and seven-point scale are confirmed.

Scope¶

Domain: Intelligence community / analytic tradecraft standards
Timeframe: ICD 203 revised January 2015 — current version
Testability: Directly verifiable against official ICD 203 text

Assessment Summary¶

Probability: Likely (55-80%)

Confidence: High

Hypothesis outcome: H2 (correct structure, inaccurate labels) is the strongest hypothesis. Nine standards and seven-point scale are confirmed, but "Visual integrity" is not the official label and "Remote" is not the ICD 203 term.

[Full assessment in assessment.md.]

Status¶

Field	Value
Date created	2026-03-13
Date completed	2026-03-13
Researcher profile	default
Prompt version	hybrid-prompt-test / full-prompt-run-07
Revisit by	2027-03-13
Revisit trigger	Future ICD 203 revisions