R0002/2026-03-13/C001¶
Claim: ICD 203 defines nine tradecraft standards (Sourcing, Uncertainty, Distinction, Alternatives, Relevance, Logic, Change, Accuracy, Visual integrity). Seven-point probability scale from Remote (01-05%) through Almost certain (95-99%).
BLUF: Structurally correct but two specific labels are inaccurate. "Visual integrity" should be "effective visual information," and "Remote" is not the ICD 203 term -- the correct term is "Almost no chance." The nine standards and seven-point scale are confirmed.
Probability: Likely (55-80%) | Confidence: High
Correction needed: "Visual integrity" → "effective visual information"; "Remote" → "Almost no chance."
Summary¶
| Entity | Description |
|---|---|
| Claim Definition | Claim text, scope, decomposition, status |
| Assessment | Full analytical product with reasoning chain |
| ACH Matrix | Evidence × hypotheses diagnosticity analysis |
| Self-Audit | ROBIS-adapted 4-domain process audit |
Hypotheses¶
| ID | Hypothesis | Status |
|---|---|---|
| H1 | Claim is accurate in all details | Inconclusive |
| H2 | Correct structure but inaccurate labels | Supported |
| H3 | Material misrepresentation of structure | Eliminated |
Searches¶
| ID | Target | Results | Selected |
|---|---|---|---|
| S01 | ICD 203 Tradecraft Standards | 10 | 3 |
| S02 | ICD 203 Probability Scale | 10 | 2 |
| S03 | DNI.gov ICD 203 PDF (Primary Source) | 0 | 0 |
| S04 | FAS Mirror ICD 203 PDF | 0 | 0 |
| S05 | DNI Objectivity Page | 1 | 1 |
| S06 | ICD 203 Standards Names Verification | 10 | 2 |
Sources¶
| ID | Source | Reliability | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|
| SRC01 | DNI Objectivity Page | High | High |
| SRC02 | Secondary Sources Synthesis | Medium-High | High |